Thursday, January 31, 2008
Pakistan is a source of concern: Obama
Responding to a question on withdrawal of troops from Iraq, Senator Barack Obama commented that the foreign policy was being conducted in a wrong way and was not focused. In that context he commented that some countries like Pakistan are a source of concern.
(Rana Fawad)
Wednesday, January 30, 2008
Nawaz plan C, Fazl plan D: Prof Mumtaz
Weinbaum, and Prof Dr Mumtaz Ahmad during a disucssion at the
George Town University on Wednesday -- (Photo by Rana Fawad)
By Rana Fawad
WASHINGTON: The late Benazir Bhutto was the plan B of the US strategy in Pakistan and after her assassination Nawaz Sharif could be the plan C and don’t be surprised if Maulana Fazl ur Rehman emerges as the plan D.
This was stated by Prof Dr Mumtaz Ahmad of Hampton University during a discussion on “Recent Events in Pakistan and Their Implications” organized by the Prince Al-Waleed Bin Talal Center for Muslim-Christian Understanding of Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service at Georgetown University on Wednesday. The other key speaker was Professor Dr Marvin Weinbaum, Resident Scholar at The Middle East Institute. Prof Dr Shireen Hunter conducted the proceedings on this occasion.
Analyzing the political situation in Pakistan, Prof Mumtaz told the audience that he won't be surprised if Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam leader Fazl ur Rehman is brought into the power picture as plan D. He added that Fazl ur Rehman has distanced himself from the Afghan Taliban, has friendly ties with the Indians through Jamiat Ulema-e-Hind, does not approve of the Kashmiri struggle as jihad, could talk to the religious elements using his influence in the troubled parts of the tribal areas, and on top of that, he is purchase-able.
Referring to Nawaz Sharif's deportation in September 2007, Prof Mumtaz told the audience that even the FIA director was kept under dark about real destination of Nawaz Sharif's plane. He said the FIA director was told that Nawaz Sharif would be taken to Karachi and that's what he told Nawaz Sharif when he escorted him to the plane. The professor added that after the plane took off, the FIA director was informed the plane was going to Jeddah.
As for the Feb 18 elections in Pakistan, the professor said the world should not be surprised if the President Musharraf's party, Pakistan Muslim League (Q), secures half of the 55 per cent National Assembly seats in the Punjab province. He said one reason was that many of the party tickets holders of PML-Q belonged to the influential families that had their own vote banks in the respective areas.
Another reason, the professor mentioned, is the fact that the Punjab government led by Chaudhry Pervaiz Elahi did a lot of development work in the province and some sectors experienced significant salary raise. He said for instance the school teachers in the Punjab received almost 100 per cent raise in their salaries.
Indian movies in Pakistan
According to The New York Times, the committee issued a statement on Tuesday saying, “The ban has practically become ineffective as these are being viewed uncensored in almost every household on cable TV as well as CDs and DVDs, necessitating a reappraisal to deal with the issue rationally.”
The Indian films were banned in Pakistan after the 1965 war between India and Pakistan. However, three movies (Mughl-e-Azam, Taj Mahal and Sohni Mahinwal) were given special permission tduring that ban.
The Pakistani cinema owners have lobbied hard to get the ban lifted while the opponents argue that it would prove to be the deadly blow for the struggling film industry in Pakistan.
(Rana Fawad)
Deposed Top Judge Assails Musharraf
ISLAMABAD, Pakistan -- Pakistan's deposed chief justice sharply criticized President Pervez Musharraf on Wednesday, calling him an "extremist general" for firing 60 judges and keeping his family _ including his disabled 7-year-old son _ under house arrest for three months.(The Washington Post)
For Journalists in Pakistan, That's the Way It Is
If journalism is the 'first rough draft of history,' then Pakistan's history is suffering. (The Washington Post)
Tuesday, January 29, 2008
U.S. Sees Some Fraud Likely In Pakistan Election
US: Pakistan Working on Election Rules
WASHINGTON -- A senior Bush administration official said Tuesday that the United States is pushing Pakistan to fix "serious distortions" ahead of Feb. 18 parliamentary elections.(The Washington Post)
Monday, January 28, 2008
Israeli Officials: Musharraf Met Barak
U.S. diplomat dies in Pakistan; suicide suspected
Sunday, January 27, 2008
Pakistan Shuns C.I.A. Buildup Sought by U.S.
US Shift Seen to Pakistan, Afghanistan
WASHINGTON -- In a shift with profound implications, the Bush administration is attempting to re-energize its terrorism-fighting war efforts in Afghanistan, the original target of a post-Sept. 11 offensive. The U.S. also is refocusing on Pakistan, where a regenerating al-Qaida is posing fresh... (The Washington Post)
Saturday, January 26, 2008
Pakistan Rebuffs Secret U.S. Plea for C.I.A. Buildup
Top Agents in Secret Trip to Pakistan
Pakistan Says Nuclear Assets Are Safe
ISLAMABAD, Pakistan -- Pakistan's nuclear weapons are safe from Taliban and al-Qaida militants because of the military's stringent security system and a political climate that precludes a takeover by religious extremists, a top official said Saturday.(The Washington Post)
Friday, January 25, 2008
Brown Should Press Musharraf on Rights: HRW
(London, January 26, 2008) – British Prime Minister Gordon Brown should tell visiting Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf that free and fair elections will be impossible without the full restoration of Pakistan’s judiciary, Human Rights Watch said today.
Musharraf, in the United Kingdom on the last leg of his first foreign trip since the assassination of former Pakistani Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto on December 27, is scheduled to meet Brown on Monday.
“The British government has long ignored Musharraf’s systematic political repression in exchange for dubious cooperation in the ‘war on terror,’ and hollow promises on free and fair elections,” said Brad Adams, Asia director at Human Rights Watch. “Prime Minister Brown should tell President Musharraf that the UK will no longer tolerate his abusive policies.”
On November 3, 2007 Musharraf suspended Pakistan’s constitution, fired much of the country’s senior judiciary and arrested thousands of opponents, most of whom were eventually released because of international pressure. Still under house arrest, however, are the fired chief justice of the Supreme Court, Iftikhar Mohammad Chaudhry, five colleagues and leading lawyers. While the November state of emergency has been lifted, most of its repressive provisions are still in force under the “restored” constitution.
In the lead-up to the February 18 elections, Human Rights Watch has investigated extensive media censorship, disruption of opposition party activities, bias among election officials and pre-poll rigging in favor of Musharraf-backed candidates.
“An independent judiciary is vital for people to have an avenue to contest the results of this election conducted in an environment of bias and intimidation,’’ said Adams.
Human Rights Watch urged Brown to press Musharraf to rescind these measures, seek an independent election commission and a neutral caretaker government to oversee elections.
“Brown should tell Musharraf to immediately release the detained judges and lawyers,” said Adams. “The UK’s notable failure to press for the reinstatement of an independent judiciary is alienating Pakistan’s people at Britain’s expense.”
A CONVERSATION WITH HAMID KARZAI
Thursday, January 24, 2008
US Urged to Push for Reforms in Pakistan
U.S. Troops 'Ready' to Aid Pakistan
The Pentagon is "ready, willing and able" to send U.S. troops to conduct joint combat operations with Pakistan's military against al-Qaeda sanctuaries in Pakistan's tribal areas, Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates said yesterday. (The Washington Post)
Musharraf to West: 'We have our own brains'
Wednesday, January 23, 2008
Supporters at Home and Abroad Backing Away From Musharraf
ISLAMABAD, Pakistan, Jan. 23 -- On the eve of critical elections in Pakistan, President Pervez Musharraf is increasingly losing support from major constituencies, including his own traditional military base, amid growing questions in both Pakistan and the United States about his ability to govern. (The Washington Post)
Pakistan's Sharif Says Danger Hinders Vote Campaign
Tuesday, January 22, 2008
In Pakistan, TV Network Loses Bite in Its Return
Still Wrong in Afghanistan
U.S. efforts at aerial eradication of poppy fields in Afghanistan could succeed at ridding the landscape of allies. (The Washington Post)
Monday, January 21, 2008
Banned Pakistani TV network resumes service in government deal
By Chris Brummitt
The Associated Press
January 21 2008, 12:51 PM EST
ISLAMABAD, Pakistan -- Pakistan's most popular private television network went back on the air today after signing a government code of conduct that critics say is muzzling independent media before parliamentary elections next month.(Baltimore Sun)
Musharraf Trip Shadowed by Troubles at Home
Looking Beyond Feudal Politics in Pakistan
ISLAMABAD, Pakistan -- For Ishaq Khan Khakwani, a member of Pakistan's National Assembly, the sooner people like him are out of a job, the better. (The Washington Post)
Sunday, January 20, 2008
Pakistani Military Attacks Militants
ISLAMABAD, Pakistan -- The Pakistani military pounded an extremist stronghold Sunday near the Afghan border where a rebel leader blamed for the assassination of former Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto is believed to be hiding, officials and witnesses said. (The Washington Post)
Pakistan Forces Press Attack on Militant Stronghold
Saturday, January 19, 2008
Pakistan Authorities Arrest Two Over Bhutto Plot
Pakistan Turmoil Draws Muted Concern in India
NEW DELHI, Jan. 18 -- They have almost always been mentioned in the same breath: India and Pakistan. For decades, the two countries have been inextricably tied in politics and in war. (The Washington Post)
Friday, January 18, 2008
Pakistan Border Clash Kills Militants
Reduced by $2.5 Million!
For many neighbors, there is nothing more fascinating than the most expensive house on the block. Does it have a movie theater? Do servants pop out of closets to take your coat? Is your own house cuter after all? (RThe Washington Post)
Thursday, January 17, 2008
Frontier Insurgency Spills Into a Pakistani City
Escalating political tension has made Peshawar a target of Islamic militants, who have encroached from nearby tribal areas. (The New York Times)
CIA Places Blame for Bhutto Assassination
The CIA has concluded that members of al-Qaeda and allies of Pakistani tribal leader Baitullah Mehsud were responsible for last month's assassination of former Pakistani prime minister Benazir Bhutto, and that they also stand behind a new wave of violence threatening that country's stability, the... (The Washington Post)
Wednesday, January 16, 2008
NYTimes.com: U.S. Urged to Prevent Election Rigging In Pakistan
Admiral: Pakistan OKs Bigger U.S. Role
ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. -- Pakistan is taking a more welcoming view of U.S. suggestions for using American troops to train and advise its own forces in the fight against anti-government extremists, the commander of U.S. forces in that region said Wednesday.(The Washington Post)
Tuesday, January 15, 2008
Beating extremists by building schools
January 15 2008
Pakistan has made news lately as the world's most dangerous country: a nuclear-armed state that has become a base for al-Qaida, the Taliban and other fanatic Islamists. But on my trip there last month, I saw a route out of this trap - if Pakistan's government and the West would only seize it. (Baltimore Sun)
Bhutto's Last Day, in Keeping With Her Driven Life
RAWALPINDI, Pakistan -- Gripping the podium with both hands, Benazir Bhutto spoke in a shout that filled the cavernous park and echoed into the streets beyond. (The Washington Post)
Monday, January 14, 2008
NYTimes.com: Militants Escape Control of Pakistan, Officials Say
By CARLOTTA GALL and DAVID ROHDE
Pakistan’s premier military intelligence agency has lost control of some of the networks of Pakistani militants it has nurtured since the 1980s.
NYTimes.com: Pakistan Opposition Attacks Musharraf
By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS ISLAMABAD, Pakistan (AP) -- Opposition leader Nawaz Sharif accused Pakistan's president Monday of blindly following America and ordering anti-terror operations that have left the country ''drowned in blood.''.
Many Pakistanis See Leader As Having Reigned Too Long
ISLAMABAD, Pakistan -- When he grabbed power in a military coup eight years ago, then-Gen. Pervez Musharraf was cheered here for rescuing Pakistan from corrupt and incompetent politicians who had forestalled democracy and dragged the country to the brink of bankruptcy. Surveys showed an astonishi...(The Washington Post)
Sunday, January 13, 2008
Pakistan Poll Shows Suspicion of Leaders
ISLAMABAD, Pakistan -- Nearly half of Pakistanis surveyed suspect that government agencies or government-linked politicians killed Benazir Bhutto, according to an opinion poll, highlighting popular mistrust in the country's U.S.-allied president ahead of elections next month. (The Washington Post)
Saturday, January 12, 2008
NYTimes.com: Musharraf Rejects U.N. Inquiry on Bhutto
Musharraf Rejects U.N. Inquiry on Bhutto
By REUTERS PARIS (Reuters) - Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf ruled out a U.N. inquiry into the assassination of opposition leader Benazir Bhutto, as demanded by her party, saying that Pakistan should not be compared to Lebanon.
Why Al-Qaeda Is Losing
We need to use al-Qaeda's murder of Muslims as part of our propoganda war. (The Washington Post)
Friday, January 11, 2008
Musharraf open to power sharing
By David R. Sands
Pakistani Ambassador Mahmud Ali Durrani says that the party allied with President Musharraf are willing to work with other parties to form a government after parliamentary elections next month that are crucial to the U.S.'s war on terror. (The Washington Times)
Pakistani Women's Flawed Icon
LAHORE, Pakistan -- Wrapped in tattered wool blankets, Bashiran and her neighbors trekked for three hours from their dusty rural villages to wait amid the polished offices and whirring computers in a bank here in Lahore, one of the many branches set up across Pakistan by former prime minister Ben... (The Washington Post)
Thursday, January 10, 2008
NYTimes.com: Senate Leader Wants Bush to Pressure Pakistan
By REUTERS
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid on Thursday urged President George W. Bush to consider cutting aid to Pakistan unless it restores full civil rights and does more to fight terrorism.
Pakistan warns against unilateral action on rebels
SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf has said any unilateral action by U.S.-led coalition forces against militants in the border region with Afghanistan will be regarded as an invasion, a newspaper reported on Friday. (The Washington Post)
Memorial for Benazir
The speakers of the event include M Zia-ud-din (Dawn newspaper), Wajid Shamas ul Hasan (Pakistan People’s Party), Victoria Schofield (journalist and personal friend of Benazir), and Amin Mughal (a Pakistani academic).
Following the presentations the house will be open for questions and answers. Entrance will be free on this occasion.
Wednesday, January 9, 2008
Freedom pledged for Bhutto inquiry
Pakistan government vows not to interfere
Associated Press
January 9 2008
ISLAMABAD, Pakistan -- President Pervez Musharraf told British forensic experts yesterday that they have a free hand in investigating the circumstances surrounding the assassination of opposition leader Benazir Bhutto, a government official said.
The complete article can be viewed at:
http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/nation/bal-te.pakistan09jan09,0,992402.story
Taliban Commander Emerges As Pakistan's 'Biggest Problem'
PESHAWAR, Pakistan, Jan. 9 -- Even as his reputation has grown more menacing and his militia more powerful, the Taliban commander accused of ordering the death of Benazir Bhutto has shrouded himself in mystery. (The Washington Post)
US nomination process: Polls out, unpredictiblity in
The morning after tv coverage of the primary result that gave Hillary a three digit lead instead of what the media and polls had predicted to be a double digit defeat, polls for the coming primaries totally vanished from the news, at least for now.
(Rana Fawad)
Tuesday, January 8, 2008
How safe is Pakistan's nuclear weapons arsenal?
January 8 2008
Ever since 9/11, the nightmare scenario for American security has been the possibility that terrorists could obtain nuclear weapons.
The complete article can be viewed at:
http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/opinion/oped/bal-op.rubin08jan08,0,2929803.story
Monday, January 7, 2008
NYTimes.com: In Musharraf's Shadow, a New Hope for Pakistan Rises
By DAVID ROHDE and CARLOTTA GALL Ashfaq Parvez Kayani, who replaced Pervez Musharraf as Pakistan’s army chief, has raised hopes among U.S. officials that he could become a new force for stability.
Strains Intensify in Pakistan's Ethnic Patchwork
KARACHI, Pakistan -- To Khaled Chema, an unemployed 32-year-old living in a sprawling slum of this mega-city by the sea, Benazir Bhutto wasn't assassinated because she opposed extremism and advocated democracy. She was killed because, like him, she was a Sindhi. (The Washington Post)
Sunday, January 6, 2008
Work with Pakistan to secure nuclear weapons: US analyst
By Rana Fawad
WASHINGTON: Illustrating the US military options in Pakistan, Michael O'Hanlon of the Brookings Institute, he said that in case of an extreme situation in which Pakistan’s nuclear weapons are at risk of being taken by the wrong people, any unilateral measure by the US or international community should not be the answer.
He clarified that his analysis is only for the worst case scenario which is highly unlikely to occur. He explained that Pakistan has a population of 160 million people, six times the population of Iraq.
He said in case of Pakistan’s collapse, a military operation would require two million troops to protect the people and nuclear weapons. “In other words it’s not an option. We don’t have two million people in the entire US armed force,” he added.
O’Hanlon mentioned that the US had only one million people in the entire army including every reservist. He commented that Pakistan’s terrain and the armed forces’ commitment in Afghanistan and Iraq would make a military option very difficult.
He also pointed out that the basic logistics of moving even a few hundred people across the ocean and into a place where they could help restore the order mean several months time would have lapsed which means any crisis would have able to run its and get worse without any role for the international community.
He argued that any such intervention to help stabilize the situation in certain areas would have to be at Pakistan’s invitation and expressed desire and need for help being acknowledged. He also emphasized that such an effort has to be an international coalition due to anti-American sentiments in Pakistan.
He rejected the notion of unilateral military option and advocated for a joint attempt in association with the major element in the Pakistani government whoever may represent the government at that given moment of time. He said that the US would have to work with the Pakistanis to solve whatever crisis took shape down the road.
As for the Pakistani nuclear weapons, he told the audience that Pakistan had almost 50 nuclear weapons usually weighing a few hundred kilograms each and “it’s hard to cart them around but it’s not hard to drive them around in small vehicles and therefore it’s very easy to hide them.”
O’Hanlon opined that in case of any military action the Pakistani government could hide those weapons or distribute which would not be a good scenario to have. He suggested that the best option is to work closely with the Pakistani government in reinforcing the safety measures around those nuclear warheads. “Ideally, and I think this is the case, fissile material is separate from the delivery vehicle, may be even separate from the rest of the bomb,” he added.
He said there were around half a dozen sites according to different accounts and it was a realistic balance to have instead of keeping the nuclear capability at one place.
(To be continued)
Saturday, January 5, 2008
U.S. Relying on Two in People's Party to Help Stabilize Pakistan
With the assassination of Benazir Bhutto, the Bush administration is now depending on two politicians -- one accused in the 1990s of being a crook and the other still viewed as almost powerless -- to help prop up President Pervez Musharraf and stabilize volatile Pakistan, according to U.S. offici... (The Washington Post)
NYTimes.com: For Now, Musharraf Has Muzzled Legal Critics in Pakistan
For Now, Musharraf Has Muzzled Legal Critics in Pakistan
By SOMINI SENGUPTA
For speaking out against President Pervez Musharraf, one lawyer spent three weeks in jail and another is under house arrest in Lahore. None of these leaders can talk to one another.
Friday, January 4, 2008
American Enterprise Institute Event (Part-II)
By Rana Fawad
WASHINGTON: Referring to the confusion the tribal people were faced with during and after the jihad, Haqqani told the audience that once he had a chance to visit a tribal elder who told him that a few years ago the Pakistani officials came to him and said those guys were mujahidin (holy warriors) so protect them, look after them.
That tribal elder married his daughter to one of those mujahideen and being the son-in-law, he became a part and parcel of the tribe. A few years later, the same officials went to that tribal elder and told him that the Americans were telling them that now those guys were terrorists, therefore, the government would not take any responsibility.
Haqqani said Benazir Bhutto’s real credit was that she was the first Pakistani leader since 9/11 to go to the people and say that terrorism was a threat to Pakistan. “Forget about all other things that are being said: feudal, tribal, Benazir Bhutto and her husband’s alleged corruption, etc. On the issue of terrorism she had the courage to speak out to crowds of the Pakistanis and tell them terrorism is our problem. We have to deal with it,” he added.
He was of the view that so far Musharraf’s biggest weakening had been that he was telling the Pakistanis he was under a lot of pressure from the Americans to deal with it. “That doesn’t mobilize the Pakistani public against the terrorists. That creates the problem as if terrorists wouldn’t be terrorists, they are just nice guys or old jihadis who want to do something for Islam,” he added.
Haqqani explained that those tribal people would not surrender those guys or turn in any information about Osama bin Laden despite the offers of millions of dollars as a reward because that money does not matter to them but the tribal loyalty does.
He told the audience that the people didn’t realize the loyalty factor. He said for instance one of Ayman al Zawahri’s wives belonged to a local tribe and that tribe was going to protect him as their son-in-law.
Haqqani said no doubt being the superpower of the world the US had to deal with all kinds of people, however, it should not delude itself that those were good guys and that’s what was happening in Musharraf’s case.
Haqqani mentioned that the emphasis of the US policy in relation to Pakistan had been supporting the Pakistan military and the intelligence services. He mentioned, “Since 1954, Pakistan has received something like 22 billion dollars in US economic and military assistance. Almost 17.7 billion dollars during this period have gone to the military regimes in Pakistan and only 3.4 billion dollars have gone to the civilian regimes.”
He said that the calculation would conclude the US subsidized the Pakistani military rules to the tune of 600 million dollars per year and provided only 181 million dollars under the civilian rules.
He clarified that he was not making any case for more US aid for civilian rules but the discussion was about the understanding why the military and intelligence services in Pakistan had so much control over Pakistan. Haqqani said as far as the question ‘who controlled Pakistan’ was concerned, the answer was ‘the military and intelligence agencies controlled Pakistan to the extent they could’ and now the jihadis and the extremists were controlling certain parts where the military and intelligence agencies didn’t have control.
“What Pakistan needs is a strong military that does not run covert operations and is not out of control. A strong military that is under civilian control,” he commented. Referring to Pakistan’s politics, he said it still had a mainstream and Benazir Bhutto as well as Nawaz Sharif represented that mainstream.
He said if some people thought those two Pakistani leaders were divisive, he would say they were not worse than the Democrats and Republicans of this country. As for Benazir’s and Nawaz Sharif’s alleged corruption, Haqqani stated that it should not be anybody’s business in the US to start mentioning their corruption and we even never find out about Musharraf’s and the military’s corruption because they keep things closer to their chest and they don’t allow anybody to reveal their corruption.
He commented that the real issue is Pakistan’s security and that the country does not remain a safe haven for the jihadis and for that Pakistan needs a strong civilian government with control over the military as well as intelligence agencies.
He emphasized that Pakistan needed to break away from the jihadi past and enter the future of modernity. “Can that happen? Absolutely,” he predicted.
Haqqani believed that the Pakistan army did not want a break with the US. He added that the US aid was important to the Pakistan military and there were people in the military who would rather have the US assistance than not have it. “So, instead of just pandering to them, if the US actually tells them that we are on to what you do and believe some of the things what some of the Pakistani civilians say, instead of being cynical about all of us, then I think there is hope,” he commented.
Criticizing the US approach towards Pervez Musharraf, Haqqani suggested that the US should ask critical questions instead of issuing statements showing faith in Musharraf. He said the question was why Musharraf was an American ally and termed him a flawed ally.’ He concluded his remarks saying, “It’s about time to point out how flawed the military intelligence complex that runs Pakistan is.”
(To be continued)
Thursday, January 3, 2008
After Bhutto's Death, Sharif Steps Forward
LAHORE, Pakistan, Jan. 3 -- In the polished marble foyer of his mansion, former Pakistani prime minister Nawaz Sharif keeps two ferocious-looking stuffed lions. They were purchased in Africa, and they greet visitors with piercing eyes. (The Washington Post)
Bhutto murder investigation resonates in Iowa vote
WASHINGTON: The United States has lost credibility internationally as Pakistan requested the British Scotland Yard instead of CIA or FBI to investigate Bhutto’s assassination.
This pitch was made by Joe Biden’s representative to the nonviable caucus members during a Democratic caucus in Des Moines, Iowa, on Thursday evening telecast live by cnn.com.
Biden’s representative said his (Biden’s) experience in foreign policy will help restore the US credibility world over.
According to the Democratic caucus process, the first round determines which candidates make it to the threshold of 15 percent voter required to qualify for the second round. Candidates securing less than 15 percent in the first round are eliminated and their respective voters become nonviable and are asked to join other candidates with more than 15 percent votes.
Wednesday, January 2, 2008
Musharraf milking US through terrorism threat: Haqqani
WASHINGTON: It is in Musharraf’s interest to keep propping up the Islamists threat to milk the US for more and more aid otherwise in a free and fair election the people of Pakistan would vote either for Ms Bhutto’s left-wing People’s Party or Nawaz Sharif’s right-wing Muslim League.
This was commented by Husain Haqqani, Associate Professor of International Relations at Boston University, during a discussion titled “The Crisis in Pakistan and American Policy” held under the auspices of a Washington-based think-tank American Enterprise Institute (AEI) on Wednesday. Other discussants included Thomas Donnelly (AEI), Danielle Pletka (AEI), and Michael O'Hanlon (Brookings Institute) while Frederick Kagan moderated the proceedings.
Haqqani pointed out that despite the massive doses of US aid, 65 million people living below the poverty line will not benefit because that assistance will only make the Pakistan military stronger.
Referring to the historical background of the Pakistani military’s relationship with the US, he told the audience, “In 1950s, the Pakistan military came to Washington and said we will be your critical allies in the cold war and you can have your bases in Pakistan. Then they wriggled out of this saying people don’t like the United States.”
He mentioned that during the war against Soviets the Pakistani military intelligence services again received a large amount of aid and we all know that a lot of that aid was diverted to the Pakistan military’s obsessive compulsion vis a vis India and that’s where the jihad became more significant.
Haqqani said before the anti-Soviet jihad, Pakistan’s society as a whole was a conservative, tribal, possibly feudal society. “But that doesn’t matter as far as the American policy is concerned,” he said and added, “Our purpose should not be or the US policy should not be about feudalism and tribalism. The societies evolve themselves like India has evolved pretty well with difficulties with its society’s complications.”
He opined that the Pakistani society could have evolved, too, but a lot of people in Washington since the 1950s have thought the Pakistan’s military as Pakistan’s savior. Haqqani added Musharraf, who actually says ‘I’m indispensable for Pakistan,’ has a serious savior complex and exaggerated ego.
Elaborating on the current crisis, he said that terrorism had increased in Pakistan and Ms Bhutto was the latest victim of the terrorism right in the heart of the garrison city of Rawalpindi, not very far from the General Headquarters of the Pakistani military.
Referring to the trust deficit President Pervez Musharraf is facing in the country, Haqqani asked if the people were not ready to trust his government with as simple a task as the investigation of the country’s most popular leader Benazir Bhutto, how come that government be trusted in dealing with the terrorist threat. He said the people suspect the government more than they suspect the terrorists. He added that he was not sure that suspicion was true or not but the mere fact that it exists, creates the problem.
He pointed out that the trust deficit is a problem because “Everybody in Pakistan who has disagreed with Pakistan’s military intelligence services at some point or another is being either arrested, jailed, imprisoned, tortured, blackmailed or repressed in some other ways.”
He commented that the opinion of civilian Pakistanis about the military intelligence complex cannot be the same as those of the visiting generals and intelligence officers who meet these guys in ornate meeting rooms.
Haqqani claimed that the number of terrorist deaths in Pakistan during 2006 was 1,471, while in 2005 the number was only 648 and now for 2007 the figure is something like 2,300. “So, if the proof of the pudding is in the eating, well, with due respect, this pudding doesn’t taste too well. Terrorism continues to increase with the quantum of eight being increased,” he said.
Talking about the reasons why is it happening, Haqqani explicated that the Pakistan’s military and intelligence services used the jihadis as a force multiplier in an attempt to compete with India. “That was the idea. So, the jihadi groups were essentially a means of trying to win Kashmir without actually going directly to war with India,” he added.
As for Afghanistan, Haqqani commented it was Pakistan’s backyard and Pakistan wanted Afghanistan for strategic depth. He said, the Taliban was a realpolitik and wasn’t an ideological move.
He said Musharraf considered the Taliban important for Pakistan, but after 9/11 he realized he didn’t want to have trouble with the US so he changed the paradigm somewhat but throughout 2002 and 2003 there was evidence that the Taliban were regrouping, and he himself pointed out in his articles at that time.
Haqqani pointed out that by 2005 the Taliban had regrouped and started becoming a problem for Afghanistan and they were attacking the Pakistani army as well. He said the problem would exist unless the Pakistani army decided to shut down all the jihadi operations that Pakistan itself had supported.
(To be continued)
Tuesday, January 1, 2008
Most in Pakistan refuse to see the danger of Islamist expansion
January 1 2008
ISLAMABAD, Pakistan -- On Friday, the day of Benazir Bhutto's burial in her ancestral village, Pakistanis were still struggling to grasp that she was dead.
The complete article can be viewed at:
http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/opinion/oped/bal-op.rubin01jan01,0,7718518.story